‘Here are the numbers,’ he said. ‘If you work for Douglas for five years you won’t be asked to repay your tuition. If you leave before then, we would ask for a proportional repayment. It’s all explained in the contract I brought.’ Mr. Cutler pointed out the applicable clauses. Jim looked at the salary and stipend numbers and they were better than good. ‘We’ll bring you out to Douglas from mid-June through mid-August for an orientation,’ Mr. Tyler explained. ‘Then you’ll be back here to start school. What do you say?’ ‘You’ll have an expense account when you’re traveling in addition to your regular payment,’ Cutler added. Jim looked at the men and then at the contract in front of him. ‘I hate to ask for too much,’ Jim said. ‘All we can do is say ‘no’,’ Cutler said. ‘The fact is, sir,’ Jim began, ‘is that I’m just about out of money. My car would never make it out to Michigan. Any chance of an advance on my stipend?’ Cutler and Tyler looked at one another. ‘Rent a car one-way to get. So there’s a difference between ‘possible’ and ‘probable’. Steve has convinced me that I can’t rule out the possibility, however remote, but I assign a probability lower than me voting Republican, which is never going to happen!”I nodded, “‘When you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth.‘.”“Who said that?” Julie asked.“Sherlock Holmes,” I replied. “So it was actually Sir Arthur Conan Doyle.”“So why did you say that?”“To counter Elizabeth’s comment about improbability. And that is, in fact, how science works. You observe something and try to explain it. As you eliminate possible explanations through experimental testing or logical deduction, you are left with fewer and fewer explanations, including ones that seemed improbable at first. Now, it’s possible that NONE of the explanations are valid, but the improbability of something happening doesn’t negate it being the answer.“And there’s a counterpoint to make as well - and that’s.
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